Benevento vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 2
SSB
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 2
BEN
9%
21%
70%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 2
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 2
ACP
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
PIS
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
ACP
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |