Primera B Nacional - Clausura Round 15

Ben Hur vs Atletico Rafaela analysis

Ben Hur Atletico Rafaela
54 ELO 64
2% Tilt -10.7%
4694º General ELO ranking 967º
127º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
27.5%
Ben Hur
26.9%
Draw
45.6%
Atletico Rafaela

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
Ben Hur
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.6%
Win probability
Atletico Rafaela
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ben Hur
+7%
-4%
Atletico Rafaela

ELO progression

Ben Hur
Atletico Rafaela
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ben Hur
Ben Hur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2007
CAI
CAI
1 - 0
Ben Hur
BHU
55%
24%
21%
54 57 3 0
21 Apr. 2007
BHU
Ben Hur
0 - 1
Tigre
TIG
43%
27%
30%
55 60 5 -1
14 Apr. 2007
INS
Instituto
0 - 2
Ben Hur
BHU
58%
23%
18%
53 57 4 +2
07 Apr. 2007
BHU
Ben Hur
1 - 1
Tiro Federal Rosario
TFE
48%
25%
27%
53 54 1 0
01 Apr. 2007
OLI
Olimpo
4 - 1
Ben Hur
BHU
75%
17%
8%
54 73 19 -1

Matches

Atletico Rafaela
Atletico Rafaela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
62%
22%
16%
65 59 6 0
23 Apr. 2007
PLA
Platense
0 - 1
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
37%
27%
35%
65 59 6 0
15 Apr. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 2
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
54%
25%
22%
65 63 2 0
10 Apr. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
1 - 1
Unión Santa Fe
CAU
59%
23%
19%
65 59 6 0
07 Apr. 2007
TAL
Talleres Córdoba
0 - 1
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
25%
27%
49%
65 53 12 0