Bemerton Heath vs Frome Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bemerton Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BEM
1 - 2
BIS
74%
15%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WUN
2 - 5
BEM
15%
17%
69%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEM
0 - 0
PAU
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
BEM
2 - 3
PET
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
BEM
10%
14%
77%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Frome Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
2 - 1
PLY
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PLY
2 - 2
FRO
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 1
CIR
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 1
CLE
52%
23%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FRO
2 - 0
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |