Belper Town FC vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 3
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 3
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BLY
2 - 0
BEL
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
UNM
3 - 0
ASH
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
UNM
5 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
UNM
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUL
1 - 0
UNM
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
UNM
3 - 1
FYL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |