Non League Div One Northern. Jor. 20

Belper Town FC vs Colwyn Bay analysis

Belper Town FC Colwyn Bay
28 ELO 34
0.4% Tilt 4.9%
8304º General ELO ranking 3423º
424º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Belper Town FC
24.7%
Draw
34.9%
Colwyn Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
Belper Town FC
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.9%
Win probability
Colwyn Bay
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belper Town FC
-20%
-18%
Colwyn Bay

ELO progression

Belper Town FC
Colwyn Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belper Town FC
Belper Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2004
BEL
Belper Town FC
4 - 2
Chorley
CHO
44%
24%
33%
26 29 3 0
20 Nov. 2004
SHE
Shepshed
2 - 2
Belper Town FC
BEL
36%
24%
40%
26 20 6 0
13 Nov. 2004
BEL
Belper Town FC
0 - 1
Gresley
GRE
46%
24%
29%
27 31 4 -1
30 Oct. 2004
WAR
Warrington Town
1 - 0
Belper Town FC
BEL
53%
23%
24%
28 31 3 -1
23 Oct. 2004
EAS
Eastwood Town
3 - 1
Belper Town FC
BEL
54%
23%
24%
29 32 3 -1

Matches

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2004
COL
Colwyn Bay
2 - 1
Mossley
MOS
55%
22%
23%
33 30 3 0
20 Nov. 2004
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 0
Kendal Town
KEN
40%
24%
36%
32 36 4 +1
13 Nov. 2004
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
4 - 0
Colwyn Bay
COL
64%
20%
16%
33 39 6 -1
30 Oct. 2004
EAS
Eastwood Town
4 - 0
Colwyn Bay
COL
47%
24%
28%
34 33 1 -1
19 Oct. 2004
COL
Colwyn Bay
4 - 1
Chorley
CHO
53%
23%
25%
33 32 1 +1
X