FA Cup .
Global 3-5
Belper Town FC vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
STO
4 - 0
BEL
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 2
WHI
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 3
KIN
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
BEL
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 3
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
COA
1 - 2
SPA
82%
12%
5%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RFC
0 - 2
COA
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
COA
3 - 2
LOU
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
COA
18%
21%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TIV
3 - 0
COA
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | -1 |