Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals Round 4

Belo Jardim FC vs Chã Grande analysis

Belo Jardim FC Chã Grande
43 ELO 42
-4.4% Tilt -6.2%
9973º General ELO ranking 24256º
419º Country ELO ranking 753º
ELO win probability
52%
Belo Jardim FC
23.6%
Draw
24.3%
Chã Grande

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
Belo Jardim FC
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
Chã Grande
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belo Jardim FC
-32%
-16%
Chã Grande

ELO progression

Belo Jardim FC
Chã Grande
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belo Jardim FC
Belo Jardim FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2013
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
1 - 1
Serra Talhada
SER
53%
23%
24%
44 41 3 0
25 Apr. 2013
CEN
Central SC
3 - 1
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
47%
25%
28%
45 46 1 -1
21 Apr. 2013
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
2 - 3
CA Porto
POR
53%
23%
24%
46 41 5 -1
14 Apr. 2013
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
3 - 1
Salgueiro
SAL
29%
26%
46%
45 54 9 +1
07 Apr. 2013
SPO
Sport Recife
5 - 1
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
88%
9%
3%
45 73 28 0

Matches

Chã Grande
Chã Grande
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2013
PES
Pesqueira
1 - 2
Chã Grande
CHA
52%
24%
24%
40 44 4 0
25 Apr. 2013
CHA
Chã Grande
4 - 1
Petrolina
PET
48%
23%
29%
38 37 1 +2
21 Apr. 2013
SER
Serra Talhada
2 - 1
Chã Grande
CHA
49%
24%
26%
39 41 2 -1
14 Apr. 2013
CHA
Chã Grande
2 - 1
Petrolina
PET
45%
24%
31%
38 39 1 +1
07 Apr. 2013
PES
Pesqueira
2 - 0
Chã Grande
CHA
50%
24%
26%
40 41 1 -2