Belluno vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 2
BEL
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 2
DEL
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GIO
0 - 0
BEL
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
POR
35%
26%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
ACM
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 1
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
TAM
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GIO
2 - 0
CON
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 2
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |