Bellcaire 2012 vs Quart B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 3
SAG
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
5 - 3
SPA
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 7
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 3
FLA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUA
1 - 0
JAF
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUA
4 - 1
PAT
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
4 - 2
QUA
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
QUA
5 - 2
SAU
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAC
3 - 3
QUA
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |