4ª Catalana . Final
Global 2-6
Bellaterra A vs Besos At. A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaterra A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BET
4 - 0
SPN
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAU
2 - 4
BET
53%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BET
3 - 0
ULL
74%
15%
12%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BET
2 - 2
CBO
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EVI
0 - 5
BET
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Besos At. A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
SIS
1 - 4
BES
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BES
4 - 3
UBS
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ANB
0 - 2
BES
14%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BES
6 - 1
EBA
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 6
BES
20%
19%
62%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |