Belisce vs Trogir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belisce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
1 - 3
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 1
KIV
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
NKC
4 - 1
BEL
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SEG
2 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Trogir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
IMO
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MOS
0 - 2
TRO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
4 - 1
VUK
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
HDR
2 - 0
TRO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
3 - 0
SLA
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |