Primera Nacional round 5

Belgrano vs CAI analysis

Belgrano CAI
75 ELO 67
-14.6% Tilt -11.3%
283º General ELO ranking 19324º
23º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
54.3%
Belgrano
25.9%
Draw
19.8%
CAI

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
Belgrano
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.8%
Win probability
CAI
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Belgrano
CAI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belgrano
Belgrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2010
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 1
Belgrano
BEL
51%
26%
23%
75 77 2 0
22 Aug. 2010
BEL
Belgrano
1 - 1
Rosario Central
CEN
42%
29%
29%
75 78 3 0
15 Aug. 2010
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
1 - 0
Belgrano
BEL
41%
29%
30%
76 73 3 -1
08 Aug. 2010
PAT
Patronato
2 - 0
Belgrano
BEL
28%
29%
44%
76 63 13 0
15 May. 2010
QUI
Quilmes
0 - 0
Belgrano
BEL
43%
28%
29%
77 76 1 -1

Matches

CAI
CAI
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2010
CAI
CAI
0 - 1
San Martín San Juan
SMA
42%
28%
30%
68 71 3 0
20 Aug. 2010
ALM
Almirante Brown
1 - 0
CAI
CAI
44%
27%
29%
68 68 0 0
14 Aug. 2010
CAI
CAI
2 - 2
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
41%
28%
31%
68 71 3 0
07 Aug. 2010
ALD
Aldosivi
0 - 1
CAI
CAI
46%
27%
27%
68 68 0 0
16 May. 2010
OLI
Olimpo
2 - 0
CAI
CAI
57%
25%
19%
68 76 8 0