Belgrano vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
BEL
45%
29%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
GLP
39%
30%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 3
BEL
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOC
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
3 - 1
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 4
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |