Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
BEL
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 0
BEL
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 0
QUI
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GOD
0 - 0
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
SMA
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAF
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 0
IND
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 1
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |