Belfort vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
YZE
0 - 2
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AMN
1 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCM
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 0
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 1
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
YZE
7 - 2
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 3
AMN
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCM
5 - 1
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 2
NAN
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |