Belenenses Sub 19 vs Nacional Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
7º
6º
23
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
BLN
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BLN
1 - 2
ACA
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
BLN
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BLN
2 - 1
SPO
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BLN
1 - 2
CAP
59%
20%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOR
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOR
22%
21%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |