Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Tianhai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
BEI
1 - 0
HEN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
BEI
22%
29%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
BEI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Tianhai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TIA
1 - 1
SHA
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TIA
1 - 0
YAN
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TIA
1 - 0
HEN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SHA
1 - 1
TIA
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
TIA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |