FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 1-3
Bedford Town vs Hampton & Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
BED
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
4 - 4
BED
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BED
2 - 2
STA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BED
0 - 4
CAM
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
BED
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hampton & Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 1
BED
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
5 - 1
ARL
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LEI
0 - 0
HAM
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
BED
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 2
HAM
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |