Beaufays vs Ougrée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
14º
10º
30
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaufays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
BEA
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 1
HAN
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EUP
0 - 2
BEA
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
RAU
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 0
BEA
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OUG
2 - 1
JSF
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAL
2 - 1
OUG
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OUG
0 - 3
LIE
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OUG
1 - 2
MEL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WAN
4 - 0
OUG
57%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |