Beaconsfield vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 0
WEY
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BEA
2 - 0
WIM
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 1
BEA
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 3
BEA
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
4 - 3
GOS
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GOS
0 - 3
MER
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 0
MER
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MER
9 - 0
STA
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
POO
3 - 1
MER
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |