Beaconsfield vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 2
AYL
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 2
BEA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BEA
2 - 1
AYL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 2
ARL
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SOH
2 - 3
BEA
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TIV
0 - 5
BAS
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 3
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
DID
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
STO
2 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
RUG
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |