BDF vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BDF
5 - 0
DAY
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SSA
0 - 7
BDF
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
BDF
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
BDF
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BDF
0 - 2
PRI
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
3 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COS
0 - 4
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
BDF
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |