BDF vs Dayrells Road analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SSA
0 - 7
BDF
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
BDF
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
BDF
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
BDF
0 - 2
PRI
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BDF
2 - 1
WEY
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dayrells Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DAY
1 - 2
NOT
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
SSA
3 - 0
DAY
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
WEY
6 - 1
DAY
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DAY
0 - 0
COS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
DAY
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |