Baza vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
28%
49%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
UDS
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
BAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALM
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
UDS
0 - 2
GRA
26%
28%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MOT
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAR
75%
18%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRA
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |