Bayreuth SpVgg vs Hankofen-Hailing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
6º
29
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
BAY
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 2
TSA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 1
BAY
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 0
TAM
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hankofen-Hailing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 1
HAH
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HAH
1 - 1
AUG
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HAH
1 - 1
WUR
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 1
HAH
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 0
BAY
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |