Bayreuth SpVgg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
WAL
1 - 2
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BAY
5 - 0
WWO
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
BAU
3 - 2
BAY
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
ITZ
1 - 6
BAY
31%
24%
46%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
FCN
3 - 0
EIN
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
SVS
3 - 3
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 0
PIR
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
FSV
1 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 0
OFC
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |