Bayreuth SpVgg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
BNE
1 - 0
BAY
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 1
KSC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
PIR
2 - 1
BAY
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 2
RVO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
BAY
36%
25%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
3 - 0
WWO
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
HOM
2 - 1
FCN
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
FCN
3 - 0
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
AUG
2 - 0
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
FCN
5 - 0
FRE
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |