Oberliga Round 11

Bayreuth SpVgg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Bayreuth SpVgg Ingolstadt 04
31 ELO 46
5.9% Tilt 6.9%
2251º General ELO ranking 838º
95º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
30.6%
Bayreuth SpVgg
24.3%
Draw
45.1%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.1%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayreuth SpVgg
-9%
-1%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

Bayreuth SpVgg
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2004
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
5 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
34%
24%
42%
35 27 8 0
04 Sep. 2004
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 2
TSV Aindling
TSV
67%
19%
14%
35 29 6 0
01 Sep. 2004
UNT
Unterhaching II
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
40%
27%
34%
35 33 2 0
28 Aug. 2004
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 0
Bad Kötzting
BAD
83%
12%
6%
35 21 14 0
21 Aug. 2004
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 1
Wolfratshausen
WOL
88%
9%
3%
35 13 22 0

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2004
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
61%
21%
18%
45 36 9 0
28 Aug. 2004
FCP
Passau
0 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
21%
23%
56%
45 25 20 0
21 Aug. 2004
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
72%
18%
10%
45 30 15 0
18 Aug. 2004
WEI
Weiden
0 - 2
Ingolstadt 04
ING
24%
24%
52%
44 30 14 +1
14 Aug. 2004
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
62%
21%
18%
45 37 8 -1