Bayreuth SpVgg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
2 - 2
BAY
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
2 - 0
HAH
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
0 - 0
VIK
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
1 - 5
ILL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ANS
1 - 2
BAY
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
BUC
1 - 0
TSA
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 2
BUC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
BUC
1 - 1
WUR
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
BAY
6 - 3
BUC
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 0
HAH
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |