Bayreuth SpVgg vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TSG
0 - 1
BAY
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FRO
2 - 3
BAY
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 1
BAY
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 2
WUR
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
WEI
1 - 1
BAY
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
0 - 0
FRO
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 2
WUR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ISM
2 - 1
BUC
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BUC
3 - 0
SCH
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RAI
0 - 2
BUC
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |