Regionalliga - Play Offs Promotion . Final
Global 3-3
Bayreuth SpVgg vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
AUB
2 - 2
BAY
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 4
MUN
14%
23%
63%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
VRG
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
ROS
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
AUB
2 - 2
BAY
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
AMM
1 - 2
AUB
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AUB
0 - 0
WUR
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ELT
0 - 7
AUB
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUB
3 - 2
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |