Bayreuth II SpVgg vs FC Herzogenaurach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth II SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
1 - 3
SVB
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 0
BSV
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
0 - 2
QUF
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 1
BSV
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BSV
1 - 4
FCE
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Herzogenaurach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FVR
4 - 1
FCH
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 1
BAI
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVU
3 - 0
FCH
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 1
ERB
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JFO
0 - 2
FCH
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |