Aviron Bayonnais vs Stade Bordelais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
12º
1º
22
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRF
2 - 0
BAY
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
SEP
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BAY
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
BLA
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Bordelais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 3
STA
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
STA
21%
19%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 2
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |