National Round 28

Aviron Bayonnais vs Red Star analysis

Aviron Bayonnais Red Star
55 ELO 55
-11.5% Tilt -12.4%
4461º General ELO ranking 790º
106º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
39.1%
Aviron Bayonnais
27.6%
Draw
33.3%
Red Star

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
Aviron Bayonnais
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.3%
Win probability
Red Star
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Aviron Bayonnais
Red Star
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aviron Bayonnais
Aviron Bayonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
FCR
FC Rouen 1899
0 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
63%
23%
14%
54 61 7 0
06 Mar. 2012
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
0 - 2
Orléans
ORL
31%
30%
39%
55 61 6 -1
03 Mar. 2012
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
26%
27%
47%
54 62 8 +1
25 Feb. 2012
VAN
Vannes
2 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
72%
18%
10%
55 66 11 -1
21 Feb. 2012
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
2 - 3
Luzenac
LUZ
34%
29%
38%
56 59 3 -1

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
RED
Red Star
1 - 2
Niort
NIO
25%
28%
47%
56 65 9 0
02 Mar. 2012
SPI
Épinal
0 - 2
Red Star
RED
63%
22%
16%
55 62 7 +1
24 Feb. 2012
RED
Red Star
0 - 0
Paris FC
PFC
32%
30%
39%
55 61 6 0
17 Feb. 2012
CHE
Cherbourg
2 - 0
Red Star
RED
41%
27%
32%
56 54 2 -1
11 Feb. 2012
RED
Red Star
2 - 1
FC Martigues
FCM
45%
28%
27%
55 54 1 +1