Bayonne vs Girondins Bordeaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
12º
10º
35
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 0
CNF
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 1
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PED
1 - 0
BAY
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GDB
4 - 0
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POI
1 - 1
GDB
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GDB
0 - 3
FCP
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LEG
4 - 2
GDB
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
GDB
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |