Bayeux vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AGC
2 - 1
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 1
RSP
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 0
LEH
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 2
ALE
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 2
OIS
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
AGC
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 0
DIV
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
QUE
68%
18%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 1
CHE
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AFV
1 - 1
QUE
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |