Champions League Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Bayern München vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AUG
1 - 4
BYM
5%
13%
82%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 2
BYM
21%
22%
57%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BYM
6 - 0
BVB
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RBL
2 - 1
BYM
10%
16%
74%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
BJK
1 - 3
BYM
14%
19%
67%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
4 - 0
SEV
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 2
BYM
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 1
SEV
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 2
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |