Bayern München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 1
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
SLD
2 - 4
BYM
2%
9%
89%
|
93 | 9 | 84 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
KAI
1 - 1
BYM
4%
12%
84%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
RBL
0 - 3
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BYM
5 - 1
EIN
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 2
BET
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
RSO
3 - 1
RMA
19%
21%
61%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 2
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 0
RMA
7%
14%
78%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
GET
0 - 0
RMA
12%
18%
70%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |