Bayern München vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BOC
1 - 5
BYM
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 4
BYM
37%
23%
40%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BYM
2 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
HAN
0 - 3
BYM
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
BYM
1 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
SCP
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
S04
2 - 0
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
EIN
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |