Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
BYM
2 - 0
OLP
72%
17%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EIN
5 - 1
BYM
10%
15%
76%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
RTV
1 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
85%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCU
89%
9%
3%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
OLP
2 - 3
BYM
18%
19%
63%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
BVB
3 - 2
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BVB
3 - 0
WOL
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
BVB
2 - 1
MON
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
S04
0 - 0
BVB
18%
21%
61%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
INT
2 - 0
BVB
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |