UEFA Super Cup . Final
Global 3-5
Bayern München vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 1
F95
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1976 |
HAN
0 - 10
BYM
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
BYM
7 - 4
HER
72%
17%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
KOL
1 - 0
BYM
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1976 |
BYM
0 - 1
HSV
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
AND
2 - 1
KSV
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CER
0 - 2
AND
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
AND
4 - 2
WHU
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
RAA
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
LIE
0 - 0
AND
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |