Bayern München vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 2
BYM
1%
6%
93%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 2
AUG
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
87%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
BYM
6 - 0
MON
81%
12%
6%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
M05
2 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AND
0 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
68%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 1
PAD
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
6 - 0
KON
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVV
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |