Bayern München vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
BYM
40%
23%
37%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 1
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
M05
3 - 2
BYM
12%
19%
70%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
BYM
3 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 1
M05
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KOL
4 - 0
SCF
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
KOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
KOL
0 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |