Oberliga Hessen. Jor. 34

Bayern Alzenau vs Fernwald analysis

Bayern Alzenau Fernwald
25 ELO 24
3.3% Tilt 5.7%
6822º General ELO ranking 7529º
260º Country ELO ranking 298º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Bayern Alzenau
22.6%
Draw
24%
Fernwald

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
Bayern Alzenau
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
Fernwald
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Alzenau
+25%
-40%
Fernwald

ELO progression

Bayern Alzenau
Fernwald
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern Alzenau
Bayern Alzenau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2014
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
2 - 2
FSV Frankfurt II
FSV
34%
25%
41%
24 31 7 0
12 Apr. 2014
JUG
Jügesheim
0 - 0
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
62%
20%
17%
24 36 12 0
05 Apr. 2014
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
4 - 2
Wehen Wiesbaden II
WEH
28%
23%
49%
22 30 8 +2
02 Apr. 2014
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
0 - 0
SF Seligenstadt
SFS
37%
23%
40%
22 27 5 0
29 Mar. 2014
EIN
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
0 - 0
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
60%
20%
20%
22 25 3 0

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2014
EDE
Ederbergland
1 - 4
Fernwald
FER
46%
23%
31%
23 21 2 0
16 Apr. 2014
FER
Fernwald
0 - 0
Hünfelder SV
HUN
65%
20%
16%
23 18 5 0
12 Apr. 2014
VIK
Viktoria Griesheim
0 - 3
Fernwald
FER
49%
23%
29%
22 22 0 +1
30 Mar. 2014
KIC
Kickers Offenbach FC II
1 - 3
Fernwald
FER
47%
24%
30%
21 19 2 +1
22 Mar. 2014
FER
Fernwald
0 - 3
Lohfelden
LOH
44%
23%
33%
22 22 0 -1
X