B. Leverkusen vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LEV
0 - 0
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
LSV
3 - 3
LEV
29%
23%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
LEV
1 - 0
TSV
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PRE
0 - 5
LEV
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
LEV
1 - 0
VIK
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 0
LSV
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
TSV
0 - 1
SWE
43%
26%
30%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SWE
0 - 2
PRE
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VIK
0 - 2
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SWE
3 - 0
EGE
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |