B. Leverkusen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
1 - 1
LEV
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
LEV
0 - 1
EID
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ROT
2 - 2
LEV
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
LEV
0 - 1
F95
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
SWE
2 - 1
LEV
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
KÖL
0 - 0
LSV
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
TSV
2 - 2
KÖL
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
KÖL
0 - 0
PRE
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
VIK
0 - 0
KÖL
60%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
KÖL
3 - 4
EGE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |