B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
BYM
2 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
EBT
1 - 3
LEV
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
LEV
3 - 1
KSC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
F95
4 - 0
LEV
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
LEV
1 - 1
BRE
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
FCN
2 - 4
KFC
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
FCN
2 - 3
BYM
27%
24%
50%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
BOC
6 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1983 |
FCN
3 - 0
EIN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
ARB
3 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |