B. Leverkusen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
BVB
2 - 0
LEV
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
BOC
3 - 1
LEV
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 1
KAI
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
EBT
5 - 1
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
LEV
2 - 1
KSC
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1982 |
FCN
0 - 3
BYM
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
FCN
5 - 3
EIN
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
FCN
3 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
STU
1 - 2
FCN
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |