B. Leverkusen II vs Junkersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
DUS
1 - 4
BAY
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 2
YUK
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 0
BAY
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 4
STU
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | -3 |
Matches
Junkersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BOR
2 - 2
FCJ
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FCJ
2 - 1
WUP
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 0
FCJ
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FCJ
1 - 1
AAA
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |