Mongolia League Round 18

Brera Ilch FC vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis

Brera Ilch FC Tuv Azarganuud
14 ELO 16
-0.3% Tilt 8.3%
14525º General ELO ranking 14510º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
38%
Brera Ilch FC
20.3%
Draw
41.8%
Tuv Azarganuud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
Brera Ilch FC
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
41.8%
Win probability
Tuv Azarganuud
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brera Ilch FC
-56%
-55%
Tuv Azarganuud

ELO progression

Brera Ilch FC
Tuv Azarganuud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brera Ilch FC
Brera Ilch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2025
KHC
Khovd
3 - 0
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
46%
20%
34%
16 15 1 0
20 Apr. 2025
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
2 - 2
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
ERC
10%
13%
77%
15 27 12 +1
17 Apr. 2025
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
0 - 4
Khangarid
KHA
14%
16%
70%
16 27 11 -1
12 Apr. 2025
HFC
Hunters FC
1 - 1
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
39%
21%
40%
16 15 1 0
06 Apr. 2025
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 5
FC Ulaanbaatar
ULA
14%
17%
69%
17 29 12 -1

Matches

Tuv Azarganuud
Tuv Azarganuud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2025
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
2 - 0
Hunters FC
HFC
49%
20%
32%
14 16 2 0
19 Apr. 2025
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
0 - 3
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
84%
10%
6%
11 29 18 +3
16 Apr. 2025
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
0 - 7
SP Falcons
SPF
14%
16%
71%
12 29 17 -1
12 Apr. 2025
DER
FC Deren
1 - 1
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
82%
11%
7%
11 29 18 +1
06 Apr. 2025
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
2 - 1
Khoromkhon
KHO
12%
14%
74%
10 21 11 +1